5) Wolves – 7.61 More Points than xPTS
Gary O’Neil’s side are currently sitting ninth in the Premier League with 38 points.
However, based on their performances, the Midlands club should be a lot further down the table, in 14th closer to 30 points.
Rather than a midtable side, they are statistically similar to the likes of Nottingham Forest and Crystal Palace.
Of course, there is an element of luck in every result; a refereeing decision or a bounce of the ball can decide things but O Neil’s team are clearly overperforming.