5) Wolves – 7.61 More Points than xPTS

Gary O’Neil’s side are currently sitting ninth in the Premier League with 38 points.

However, based on their performances, the Midlands club should be a lot further down the table, in 14th closer to 30 points.


Rather than a midtable side, they are statistically similar to the likes of Nottingham Forest and Crystal Palace.

Of course, there is an element of luck in every result; a refereeing decision or a bounce of the ball can decide things but O Neil’s team are clearly overperforming.

David Tully

David Tully

David has worked as a football reporter for the last fifteen years. Having started as an intern at Snack Media, he then went on to become a freelancer, working on various different sites. At the start of 2023, he took up his current role as content writer for National World's Football News Network.