The Top 5 Luckiest Teams In The Premier League This Season (Based on xPTS)

In today’s post, we will be looking at the clubs that have been overperforming in the Premier League table.

To calculate this, we will be using the metric xPTS. This looks at the expected goals scored and against in every game and then works out what the outcome should have been based on the chances created.

If a team has more points than xPTS, it means they have been luckier in some matches to secure the results they got.


Press the next page as we look at the 5 luckiest clubs in the Premier League this season (using statistics from Understat).

David Tully

David Tully

David has worked as a football reporter for the last fifteen years. Having started as an intern at Snack Media, he then went on to become a freelancer, working on various different sites. At the start of 2023, he took up his current role as content writer for National World's Football News Network.