Manchester United are “slight favourites” to finish in the top four if the season is played to its conclusion, according to a prediction model developed by 21st Club.
The company’s managing director for the Americas region, A.J Svoboda, explains that as the Red Devils have the second easiest run-in of the Champions League challengers, they would be hardest hit if the final nine games are not played:
“The team that is most hard-done by the freezing of the current standings is Man United. Unlike Chelsea, they’ve played both Manchester City and Liverpool twice, and six of their remaining nine matches are against bottom-half teams. Our prediction model actually makes them slight favourites for the top four.”
In the 21st Club’s World Super League rating system, weighted in terms of underlying quality, United are currently third among Premier League clubs and combined with the difficulty of their run-in, they would leapfrog Chelsea in fourth.
The Blues have to play five games against teams in the bottom half but they also face a trip to Liverpool and have a home game against Manchester City.
United, meanwhile, only have Leicester left to face who are currently in the top four, while their other toughest fixture is against Tottenham away.